presidential polls 2020

September 29, 2020
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Sometimes, that summary will be “nothing much happened,” and you can go about your day.

There weren’t many polls today, which is expected. Other days, I’ll highlight major polls or longer-term trends, or I’ll go on a bit of a methodological digression that might help you make sense of the sometimes arcane world of polling. But state and national polls have generally been in alignment this cycle. If you’re a Trump supporter, you may have found encouragement in YouGov numbers showing a mere five-point race nationwide and a tighter contest in Wisconsin and Michigan than other pollsters have found. 2020 Elections. It found a group of voters online, then conducted the survey with half of the respondents over the phone and the other half online. Today’s polls kept them in play. From there, he would need one more state: maybe Arizona (in conjunction with Nebraska’s Second District or Maine’s Second District) or Florida or Pennsylvania. It’s great news for Mr. Biden, but it’s worth taking these results with a grain of salt. The biggest eye-popper is Ohio. My colleagues Jonathan Martin and Alexander Burns have the story. Polls shown below track voters’ views nationwide on the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden. Get the numbers and analysis from @EricGrenierCBC and … There will be a Times/Siena poll after the debate as well. On Sunday, The New York Times published an investigation into President Trump’s tax returns, disclosing that his business empire looked to be in dire straits and that he’d only paid $750 in federal income taxes in 2016 and 2017. Some were good and some were bad — whether in terms of quality or what it meant for your preferred candidate. Just because we’re showing you the average of public polls doesn’t mean we’re telling you that they’ll be right. President Trump carried all of these states four years ago. Tomorrow, we expect another poll of Wisconsin from ABC News/Washington Post. Now about those Fox polls … The well-regarded Fox News polling team released three state surveys, in Nevada, Ohio and Pennsylvania. The first presidential debate is Tuesday, marking the beginning of the final stretch of the 2020 campaign.

A bonanza of polls, but winding up at the same place. But I do think that would be a bit of a surprise, given how many mid-single-digit results we’ve seen this week. You might also have fretted about your lowest national number from YouGov in a long time, or been disappointed that your dream of a Blue Texas was a little farther (down by three in our poll) from reality than you hoped. You’ll also see a table showing what the results might look like if the polls are off by about as much as they were in the last two presidential races.
The most plausible options are probably Pennsylvania or Arizona, assuming he also carries Nebraska’s Second District. If you look at the poll release, Suffolk reports that about 49 percent of its respondents have a college degree or higher.

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